Maracena vs River Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 3
MAR
23%
26%
52%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
RON
49%
24%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ALH
2 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
38%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
River Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
4 - 3
RIV
90%
7%
3%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 2
RON
13%
18%
68%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HUE
7 - 1
RIV
80%
14%
7%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 0
GUA
9%
17%
75%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | +3 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
UDS
3 - 2
RIV
85%
11%
4%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |