Maracena vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
12º
15º
13º
39
1º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CDT
0 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
TOR
18%
21%
61%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HUE
1 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
9%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
ATL
25%
24%
50%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 5
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 1
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
UDT
2 - 0
ARE
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ARE
2 - 4
MOT
41%
25%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 0
ARE
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARE
0 - 1
RJA
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |