Manurewa vs Western Springs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
54.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
3º
8º
7º
25
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
24 | 53 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 48 |
2º
|
37.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 45 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 42 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 42 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 33 |
6º
|
53.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 28 |
7º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 18 |
9º
|
42% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 14 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 12 |
12º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 92% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manurewa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ECB
0 - 3
MAN
56%
19%
24%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAN
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PET
1 - 2
MAN
28%
21%
50%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 0
AFC
24%
21%
56%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 0
MAN
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Western Springs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
WES
3 - 2
BIR
56%
19%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
WES
3 - 3
MEL
72%
15%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MUF
1 - 2
WES
13%
16%
72%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
WES
4 - 1
AFC
32%
25%
43%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +3 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 0
WES
15%
17%
68%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -2 |