Manta vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
30.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
IVT
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LIG
5 - 0
MAN
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
IMB
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 1
MAN
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
OLM
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
LIG
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
IMB
0 - 1
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
BSC
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OLM
0 - 4
NAC
43%
30%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 3
QUI
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |