Le Mans vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
LMU
1 - 0
VAL
42%
27%
32%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
LMU
1 - 1
MON
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LIL
3 - 0
LMU
65%
20%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
LMU
1 - 0
GRE
58%
25%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LMU
2 - 1
VAL
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 2
LOR
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 2
VAL
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
GIR
4 - 1
LOR
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 2
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
LOR
0 - 0
AUX
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |