Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
4 - 0
API
17%
22%
62%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MDT
1 - 2
MAN
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
NWS
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
MAN
34%
21%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
2 - 0
WSW
43%
23%
35%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 1
BLA
9%
19%
72%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SYD
2 - 1
SUT
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SUT
0 - 0
MAR
12%
21%
67%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
API
1 - 0
SUT
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |