Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MDT
1 - 2
MAN
23%
22%
55%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 2
NWS
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
STG
1 - 1
MAN
34%
21%
44%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
SYD
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
API
1 - 0
CCM
74%
17%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
API
2 - 1
WSW
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
MDT
1 - 2
API
11%
16%
74%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BUA
1 - 2
API
5%
10%
86%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
API
1 - 0
SUT
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |