Mandello vs Merone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mandello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
DUB
1 - 3
MAN
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
VED
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ARC
2 - 1
MAN
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
VED
45%
23%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Merone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
MER
0 - 6
COS
27%
23%
50%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 2
MER
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
VIB
41%
23%
36%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
COR
1 - 1
MER
61%
20%
19%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MER
2 - 0
DUB
71%
17%
12%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |