Manchester United vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
PAN
1 - 1
MUD
22%
23%
55%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
LEE
1 - 1
MUD
26%
26%
48%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2001 |
MUD
6 - 1
ARS
63%
20%
17%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
MUD
1 - 1
VCF
62%
22%
17%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2001 |
VCF
0 - 0
MUD
44%
25%
31%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
GRA
1 - 2
STR
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
STR
0 - 5
VCF
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
STR
0 - 1
RIE
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
STR
1 - 1
TIR
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2001 |
PAN
1 - 2
STR
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |