Champions League Eliminatorias. Last 16
Global 7-2
Manchester United vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
WOL
0 - 1
MUD
11%
22%
67%
|
95 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ASV
1 - 2
MUD
17%
21%
63%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
MUD
3 - 0
WHU
80%
14%
6%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
EVE
3 - 1
MUD
25%
26%
49%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
ACM
2 - 3
MUD
31%
27%
42%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACM
3 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 2
ACM
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
BAR
0 - 2
ACM
21%
25%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
ACM
2 - 3
MUD
31%
27%
42%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |