Manchester United vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
4 - 1
MUD
36%
24%
40%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
MUD
4 - 2
LEV
70%
18%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MUD
2 - 0
CRY
87%
10%
3%
|
94 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 0
MUD
23%
23%
54%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MUD
0 - 0
CHL
56%
22%
22%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LIV
0 - 1
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2013 |
SWA
2 - 2
LIV
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 0
MUD
23%
23%
54%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
LIV
4 - 2
NOT
84%
13%
4%
|
89 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ASV
0 - 1
LIV
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |