Manchester United vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 2
BRE
77%
15%
8%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
QPR
4 - 2
MUD
5%
17%
78%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
MUD
3%
15%
82%
|
92 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
MUD
40%
25%
36%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
WOL
1 - 2
MUD
17%
23%
60%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
PUM
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 1
MIL
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
BBU
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
EVE
77%
15%
8%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 0
WOL
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |