Cup Winners Cup . Last 16
Global 1-4
Manchester United vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
MUD
2 - 0
SHE
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
MUD
3 - 1
OPA
72%
19%
9%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
SHW
3 - 2
MUD
33%
27%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
ATM
3 - 0
MUD
54%
25%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
MUD
1 - 1
ARS
44%
28%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1991 |
ATM
1 - 0
OSA
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1991 |
FCB
1 - 1
ATM
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1991 |
FCB
1 - 0
ATM
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1991 |
ATM
3 - 0
MUD
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
OVI
0 - 1
ATM
31%
29%
40%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |