Champions League Playoffs. Last 16
Global 10-2
Manchester City vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
6.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
3 - 1
WAT
87%
9%
4%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BOU
0 - 1
MAC
13%
19%
69%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
WHU
85%
10%
5%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 0
MAC
23%
23%
54%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
S04
2 - 3
MAC
19%
23%
57%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
4 - 2
S04
42%
25%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
S04
0 - 4
F95
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
M05
3 - 0
S04
26%
24%
50%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
S04
2 - 3
MAC
19%
23%
57%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
S04
0 - 0
SCF
51%
24%
26%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |