Manchester City vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 0
PNE
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
NTT
2 - 1
MAC
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
MAC
5 - 2
CHL
60%
20%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
MUD
4 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
CHL
2 - 3
MAC
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1957 |
NEW
2 - 0
OPA
56%
20%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1957 |
OPA
3 - 2
SHW
55%
20%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
TOT
3 - 5
OPA
67%
17%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1957 |
PNE
4 - 0
OPA
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 1957 |
OPA
5 - 1
TOT
50%
23%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |