Manchester City vs Liverpool analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 0
OLP
81%
13%
6%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SHE
0 - 1
MAC
8%
16%
76%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 3
MAC
14%
20%
67%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
WHU
1 - 1
MAC
17%
20%
64%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 1
FCP
70%
17%
13%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Liverpool
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
0 - 5
LIV
28%
22%
50%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 1
WHU
79%
14%
8%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 0
MID
82%
12%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
LIV
2 - 1
SHE
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
AJA
0 - 1
LIV
32%
23%
45%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |