Manchester City vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
WHU
0 - 0
MAC
16%
21%
64%
|
95 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BHA
1 - 4
MAC
8%
17%
75%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 5
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 0
BUR
85%
11%
4%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LIV
2 - 2
MAC
33%
25%
42%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 1
NEW
44%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 2
CRY
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRY
2 - 2
LEI
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 1
BHA
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 0
CRY
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |