Manaus vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 0
IRA
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 1
MAN
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
PEN
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 1
PRI
52%
25%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 0
RIO
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRI
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
5 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IRA
0 - 2
NAC
30%
22%
48%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
5 - 1
FAS
52%
24%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PRI
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |