Manaus vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 0
MAN
52%
26%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MAN
1 - 1
FFL
31%
30%
39%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
CAM
1 - 2
MAN
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
ALT
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2022 |
PAY
2 - 0
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 2
FLO
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
BRA
3 - 1
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
ALT
1 - 0
FER
37%
29%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
PAY
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FFL
1 - 0
FER
55%
26%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |