Mamelodi Sundowns vs Polokwane City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FRE
1 - 6
SUN
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
BLO
0 - 1
SUN
39%
29%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHI
68%
20%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
COS
0 - 2
SUN
22%
28%
49%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 2
AJA
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Polokwane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
POL
0 - 2
FRE
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
POL
1 - 2
SSU
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
2 - 1
POL
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
POL
0 - 0
PIR
31%
29%
41%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 1
POL
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |