Malmö FF vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SIR
2 - 3
MFF
22%
23%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
MFF
1 - 0
AIK
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 1
MFF
20%
24%
57%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
4 - 0
MFF
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OST
0 - 3
MFF
16%
22%
61%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 3
CHL
13%
20%
67%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
SOU
74%
17%
10%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
7 - 0
NOR
73%
18%
9%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
CHL
4 - 0
MFF
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
CHL
15%
21%
64%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |