Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 3-2
Mallorca vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MLL
0 - 0
ATM
44%
27%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
BET
0 - 1
MLL
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 1
MLL
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MLL
0 - 0
RSO
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LEV
0 - 1
MLL
41%
27%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 0
RAC
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
OSA
1 - 1
ATH
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 1
MLL
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 1
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 3
ATH
30%
27%
43%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |