Mali vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
15.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.6%
3%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
COG
0 - 2
MLI
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GMB
1 - 0
MLI
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
MLI
2 - 0
GMB
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
MRT
1 - 0
MLI
18%
25%
57%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
MLI
3 - 3
AGO
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
EGY
3 - 0
SSD
92%
7%
1%
|
45 | 85 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
SSD
2 - 3
GMB
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 1
COG
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
COG
1 - 2
SSD
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SSD
3 - 2
DJI
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |