Maldives vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2012 |
MDV
0 - 2
PSE
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MDV
1 - 0
NPL
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2012 |
TKM
3 - 1
MDV
65%
20%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
THA
3 - 0
MDV
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
MDV
3 - 1
BGD
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AFG
1 - 0
LKA
58%
22%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MYS
6 - 0
LKA
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
PHL
4 - 0
LKA
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Jun. 2011 |
LKA
1 - 1
PHL
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
NPL
0 - 0
LKA
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |