Maldives vs Lebanon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maldives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
MDV
1 - 2
OMN
10%
17%
73%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
MDV
0 - 1
OMN
10%
17%
73%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
LBN
3 - 0
MDV
80%
14%
6%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2004 |
OMN
4 - 1
MDV
84%
11%
4%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
OMN
3 - 0
MDV
84%
11%
4%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Lebanon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
JOR
2 - 2
LBN
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
CHN
6 - 0
LBN
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
SYR
3 - 1
LBN
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2004 |
IRN
4 - 0
LBN
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2004 |
LBN
3 - 0
MDV
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |