Malawi vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
BWA
2 - 0
MWI
24%
23%
53%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
MOZ
2 - 0
MWI
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
MWI
1 - 1
MAR
25%
30%
45%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ZMB
0 - 2
MWI
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MWI
0 - 0
ETH
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
GIN
2 - 1
TUN
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 1
GIN
65%
22%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
GIN
2 - 4
CIV
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
MLI
2 - 1
GIN
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 1
GIN
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |