Málaga vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
34%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LEV
1 - 0
MAL
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
MAL
0 - 1
ATM
24%
26%
50%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
ELC
0 - 1
MAL
32%
26%
42%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
OSA
1 - 1
MAL
34%
28%
39%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MAL
1 - 0
GET
51%
24%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 0
VCF
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 1
VCF
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2014 |
VCF
1 - 1
ATM
34%
26%
40%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
VCF
2 - 0
LEV
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
VCF
2 - 3
RMA
14%
18%
68%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |