Málaga vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1999 |
DEP
1 - 0
MAL
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
RAY
4 - 1
MAL
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
MAL
2 - 3
ATM
30%
24%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALZ
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
SEV
0 - 0
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
RSO
0 - 1
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
ATH
1 - 1
RSO
57%
23%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1999 |
RSO
0 - 1
LOG
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
RSO
2 - 1
NUM
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
RMA
1 - 1
RSO
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |