LaLiga Round 18

Málaga vs Celta analysis

Málaga Celta
86 ELO 88
-9% Tilt -12.6%
658º General ELO ranking 60º
38º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
35.2%
Málaga
27.4%
Draw
37.4%
Celta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
Málaga
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.3%
Win probability
Celta
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Málaga
-4%
+2%
Celta

ELO progression

Málaga
Celta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2015
LEV
Levante
0 - 1
Málaga
MAL
35%
28%
37%
86 81 5 0
20 Dec. 2015
MAL
Málaga
1 - 0
Atlético
ATM
25%
29%
46%
85 92 7 +1
16 Dec. 2015
MAL
Málaga
0 - 1
Mirandés
MIR
67%
21%
12%
86 75 11 -1
13 Dec. 2015
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Málaga
MAL
47%
25%
28%
85 83 2 +1
06 Dec. 2015
ATH
Athletic
0 - 0
Málaga
MAL
63%
22%
16%
85 88 3 0

Matches

Celta
Celta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2015
CEL
Celta
0 - 1
Athletic
ATH
52%
24%
24%
88 88 0 0
20 Dec. 2015
GRA
Granada
0 - 2
Celta
CEL
24%
27%
49%
88 82 6 0
17 Dec. 2015
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Almería
ALM
75%
16%
9%
88 79 9 0
12 Dec. 2015
CEL
Celta
1 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
61%
21%
18%
88 85 3 0
05 Dec. 2015
BET
Real Betis
1 - 1
Celta
CEL
33%
26%
40%
88 83 5 0