Málaga vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
RSO
2 - 0
MAL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
MAL
4 - 2
RCF
67%
21%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
RAC
41%
28%
31%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 1
MAL
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 1
NUM
53%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 1
GIM
65%
22%
13%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
HER
0 - 1
CEL
30%
27%
43%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
RSO
1 - 1
CEL
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
CEL
1 - 1
RCF
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 1
CEL
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |