Copa del Rey . 1/16
Global 4-4
Málaga vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
3.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
MAL
4 - 0
VCF
40%
26%
33%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
ZEN
2 - 2
MAL
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
OSA
0 - 0
MAL
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 2
RSO
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 1
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 2
CPC
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CPC
1 - 1
LUC
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ECI
1 - 1
CPC
40%
29%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 0
ALB
35%
28%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
CPC
3 - 4
MAL
10%
23%
67%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |