Málaga vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 0
CDT
58%
25%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
MAL
24%
28%
48%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALC
64%
23%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 2
MAL
18%
28%
55%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MAL
1 - 0
CCF
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
OSA
3 - 1
ALM
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
ALM
0 - 1
MAL
24%
28%
48%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 1
CDT
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
CAD
1 - 0
ALM
54%
27%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2018 |
ELC
1 - 0
ALM
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |