Málaga vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
22%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
IBI
2 - 2
MAL
30%
30%
41%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 0
MIR
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 1
CDT
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
GRA
3 - 1
MAL
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
MAL
0 - 3
ALC
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
FUE
40%
29%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
2 - 0
ALC
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
IBI
58%
25%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
SSR
0 - 1
ALC
12%
22%
66%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |