Malacateco vs Achuapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MUN
3 - 0
TOR
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
COM
1 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
0 - 0
CHI
49%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 2
TOR
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SLC
1 - 0
TOR
37%
29%
33%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 1
CHI
28%
28%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
2 - 2
DSA
34%
26%
40%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
MUN
3 - 0
ACH
66%
20%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ACH
1 - 0
GUA
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
COB
3 - 2
ACH
63%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |