Makedonija GP vs FK Pobeda Prilep analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
5º
9º
5º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 1
MAK
43%
27%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MAK
2 - 2
LOK
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CSK
4 - 0
MAK
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
MAK
0 - 0
CSK
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
MAK
2 - 3
SBU
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda Prilep
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POB
0 - 1
TIK
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
POB
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AKP
4 - 3
POB
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
POB
2 - 2
EGN
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
FCS
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |