Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
33.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
M05
2 - 0
AUG
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HOF
4 - 0
M05
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
M05
1 - 1
BVB
14%
19%
67%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
M05
0 - 0
KOL
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
M05
3 - 1
THU
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BRE
0 - 1
MON
27%
24%
50%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
AUG
3 - 2
BRE
29%
24%
47%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 2
BYM
8%
17%
76%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
69%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BRE
1 - 2
EBT
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |