Mainz 05 vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BYM
1 - 2
M05
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
M05
2 - 0
KOL
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 2
M05
79%
14%
7%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
M05
2 - 1
KAI
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
WOL
3 - 4
M05
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 1
HOF
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2010 |
HOF
1 - 2
BYM
16%
21%
64%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
KAI
2 - 2
HOF
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
HOF
2 - 0
S04
32%
26%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
STP
0 - 1
HOF
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |