Mainz 05 vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1992 |
HOM
0 - 0
M05
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1992 |
BRE
3 - 1
M05
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1992 |
M05
3 - 0
MEP
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1992 |
MSV
2 - 1
M05
63%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1992 |
HAN
1 - 3
M05
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1992 |
STP
0 - 0
WAL
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1992 |
CZJ
1 - 0
STP
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1992 |
STP
4 - 1
FCR
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1992 |
CHE
3 - 1
STP
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
STP
2 - 3
FCN
21%
24%
55%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |