Mainz 05 vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SGF
3 - 1
M05
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
M05
1 - 1
ERZ
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2004 |
COT
0 - 0
M05
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2004 |
M05
0 - 2
ARB
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
M05
1 - 0
WAC
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 0
WAC
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
KSC
1 - 0
MSV
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
MSV
1 - 2
RWA
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 3
MSV
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
MSV
3 - 1
OSN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |