Mainz 05 vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
FVS
1 - 0
M05
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
M05
0 - 3
ASL
62%
22%
17%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
SAA
0 - 3
M05
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
M05
1 - 2
WWO
55%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
RVO
7 - 1
M05
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
SUL
1 - 5
HOM
70%
18%
11%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
HOM
2 - 1
FVS
47%
26%
27%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ASL
1 - 0
HOM
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
HOM
0 - 0
SAA
40%
27%
34%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
WWO
3 - 2
HOM
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |