Mainz 05 vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
UNT
3 - 2
M05
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1997 |
WOL
5 - 4
M05
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
M05
2 - 0
KÖL
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
KFC
0 - 1
M05
54%
24%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1997 |
CZJ
2 - 1
M05
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 1997 |
SGF
0 - 0
STP
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1997 |
HES
1 - 4
SGF
28%
25%
48%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1997 |
SGF
0 - 0
SCW
79%
14%
8%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1997 |
LUD
1 - 1
SGF
19%
23%
57%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1997 |
SGF
1 - 2
REU
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |