Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Trier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
SSV
0 - 0
M05
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
M05
2 - 0
UNT
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
LUB
1 - 4
M05
34%
26%
39%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
M05
4 - 1
MSV
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SGF
3 - 1
M05
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Eintracht Trier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 0
WAC
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
KSC
0 - 1
EIN
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2004 |
EIN
3 - 0
RWA
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ROT
1 - 2
EIN
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 0
OSN
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |