Mainz 05 II vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
44.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
WWO
2 - 1
MAI
36%
25%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
MAI
2 - 0
KAI
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
MAI
1 - 3
OFC
21%
22%
57%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
PIR
0 - 0
MAI
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MAI
2 - 2
BAL
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
HOM
3 - 0
AST
65%
19%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
F91
4 - 1
HOM
89%
9%
3%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
KAI
3 - 0
HOM
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
ELV
2 - 0
HOM
36%
25%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
STU
0 - 2
HOM
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |