Mafra vs Estrela da Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2022 |
POR
2 - 4
MAF
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
MAF
3 - 1
MOR
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 2
ACA
51%
27%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
RIO
1 - 2
MAF
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela da Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
SPC
1 - 3
ESA
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 3
CHA
33%
29%
39%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 2
ESA
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2021 |
ESA
1 - 0
CAS
32%
29%
40%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
4 - 1
ESA
55%
24%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |