Carioca 1 Copa Río. Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Madureira RJ vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
72.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FLU
4 - 1
MAD
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
4 - 2
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 5
FLA
4%
16%
80%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
MAD
78%
15%
6%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RES
1 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 2
VAS
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 3
VAS
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 2
VAS
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 2
BAN
82%
14%
4%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | 0 |