Madagascar vs Ghana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
47.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
CAF
2 - 0
MDG
9%
16%
75%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
MDG
0 - 3
CAF
75%
16%
10%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
NER
0 - 1
MDG
28%
24%
48%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
1 - 0
MDG
75%
17%
8%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MDG
3 - 1
MOZ
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ghana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
AGO
1 - 1
GHA
28%
30%
42%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
GHA
1 - 0
AGO
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
NER
2 - 0
GHA
14%
24%
63%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 0
MAR
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GHA
3 - 1
SDN
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |