Macouria vs Agouado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macouria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
2 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
MAC
3 - 3
REM
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
1 - 2
MAC
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
CSC
51%
25%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 2
GEL
50%
25%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Agouado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
AGO
2 - 2
ETO
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
IRA
1 - 3
AGO
41%
24%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
GEL
8 - 0
AGO
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
AGO
1 - 0
GRA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
AGO
1 - 0
JMA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |