FA Cup . 1/32
Global 2-4
Macclesfield Town vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macclesfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STA
4 - 0
MAC
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 1
POR
40%
28%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 0
ROT
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STF
1 - 0
MAC
57%
24%
18%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
CHM
42%
25%
34%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
EVE
1 - 2
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 1
WOL
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
NEW
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
BBU
1 - 2
BOL
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FUL
2 - 0
BOL
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |