Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 3-1
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Khazar Lankaran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
MTA
4 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HAP
2 - 2
MTA
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
MTA
0 - 2
MAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BNE
1 - 3
MTA
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MTA
3 - 1
IKS
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Khazar Lankaran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
SHA
1 - 1
KHA
43%
26%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
FKN
1 - 1
KHA
44%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
KHA
2 - 0
FKB
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
KHA
1 - 1
QAR
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
FKB
2 - 1
KHA
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |