Macarthur FC vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
11º
12º
35
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MEL
2 - 1
MFC
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MFC
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
MFC
2 - 2
WES
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
PER
2 - 1
MFC
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
MCI
28%
26%
46%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
WES
4 - 0
WPH
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 2
BRI
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MCI
4 - 1
WPH
57%
23%
21%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WPH
1 - 2
MEL
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
5 - 1
WPH
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |